Sounds of March Madness
We have two versions of March Madness this year. The sounds associated with the the NCAA basketball tournaments is the “swish” of a good shot followed by cheering fans. The other Madness this March has brought the “boom” of exploding bombs and missiles followed by the screams of the dying and injured.
As this was written, we were a week into a war that Mr. Trump started. Benefits as of March 7 included the killing of Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei, who during his 36 years in office was ultimately responsible for thousands of deaths and much destruction throughout the Middle East as well as the murder of thousands of Iranian protesters. Dozens of other officials of the terrorist regime also died in the American and Israeli attacks.
Other benefits were the destruction of most of Iran’s navy; of many missiles, drones, and their launchers; of radar and other defense facilities; and of nuclear infrastructure that was supposedly, in Trump’s words after a U.S. attack last June, “totally obliterated.” Apparently not.
Liabilities so far included a lack of clear strategic goals by which to measure success. Was it regime change (Trump said “yes,” but Defense Secretary Hegseth said “no”), fatal damage to Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs, the end of a constant threat to Isreal, or some combination? Was it to stop an “imminent threat” to the U.S., as the administration claimed even with no evidence of such a threat? There is also no clear exit strategy.
Poor planning was evident with no plan to evacuate tens of thousands of American civilians, no plan to protect commercial shipping including vital oil tankers, and no warning to allies and others who had civilians and other interests to protect.
Perhaps the greatest strategic liability is that the war promptly spread to 12 other countries from Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States to Lebanon, Iraq, Azerbaijan, the U.K., and Turkey. By now, it may have spread to others.
The cost in lives by March 7 was six U.S. soldiers, several Israeli civilians, and an unknown number of Iranian civilians including more than 150 children when their school was hit by an allied weapon. The administration claims it doesn’t target civilians, which may be true, but in a crowded city, legitimate targets are often close to civilian structures.
War is expensive with this one costing the U.S. an estimated $1 billion a day. Three U.S. fighter jets accidentally shot down by our Kuwaiti allies cost about $96 million each. Fortunately, all six crewmen bailed out safely.
Why begin a major war now? Trump said that “Isreal forced our hand.” There were domestic reasons, too. About 60 percent of Americans disapprove of Trump’s policies, and Republicans have lost nearly every recent federal and state election and are likely to lose at least the House in November, seriously weakening Trump. Attorney General Bondi has mishandled the Epstein files scandal so badly that it screams “coverup.” Days before the war began, FBI Director Kash Patel fired an elite group of 12 agents with specialized knowledge of Iran. Homeland Security chief Kristi Noam oversaw the ICE Gestapo disaster so badly that Trump has fired her, and Health Secretary Kennedy’s policies endanger public health.
Jobs and stocks are down, and gas prices up. Trump campaigned on no foreign wars and lower consumer prices; now we have more foreign wars and higher prices. This is not a recipe for success, so a war can distract from all the bad news. If a president spends months getting Americans behind a war, as George H. W. Bush did when Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1991, people will rally ‘round the flag. Trump didn’t even try to sell his Iran adventure, and the Constitution assigns Congress the power to make war. People aren’t rallying ‘round the flag this time.



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